On April 23, two of Italy’s top Serie A teams, AC Milan and Lecce, will go head-to-head at 16:00 (UTC). AC Milan currently holds the fifth spot in the league, while Lecce is at 16th place. It is sure to be an exciting match, as AC Milan’s Rafael Leão has scored an impressive 10 goals this season. His counterpart, Gabriel Strefezza from Lecce, has also made his mark with seven goals. It’s sure to be an exciting match!
This season has been an impressive one for AC Milan, with the team achieving a winning record both at home and away. At home, AC Milan have recorded nine wins, three draws and two losses, with their biggest win coming in a 4-1 victory and their biggest loss being a 2-5 defeat. Away from home, the team have been equally impressive, recording four wins, three draws and eight losses, with their biggest victory being a 0-4 scoreline and their biggest loss being a 4-0 result against Lecce.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: Rafael Leão (AC Milan) — 6 assists, Morten Hjulmand (Lecce) — 4 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: Ciprian Tătărușanu (AC Milan) — 41, Wladimiro Falcone (Lecce) — 91
- Tackles: Pierre Kalulu (AC Milan) — 35, Morten Hjulmand (Lecce) — 59.
- Most encounters won: Theo Hernández (AC Milan) — 137, Morten Hjulmand (Lecce) — 149.
- Yellow cards: Olivier Giroud (AC Milan) — 8, Morten Hjulmand (Lecce) — 7.
- Red cards: Olivier Giroud (AC Milan) — 1, Antonino Gallo (Lecce) — 1.
Top 5 scorers this season:
- Victor Osimhen (19, Napoli)
- Lautaro Martínez (14, Inter)
- Ademola Lookman (13, Atalanta)
- MBala Nzola (13, Spezia)
- Boulaye Dia (11, Salernitana)
Team statistics:
This season, AC Milan has had a tough time scoring goals, failing to score in nine matches. Meanwhile, Lecce has been on a roll, not conceding any goals in three matches. Lecce has had a particularly impressive performance at home, winning by a score of 2-1, and away with a score of 0-2. On the flip side, their biggest loss was at home, 0-2, and away, 2-0. All in all, it’s been a competitive season, with both teams proving their mettle.
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- AC Milan — DDWLD
- Lecce — DLLLL
AC Milan has had a relatively successful run of games recently, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their opponents, Lecce, have not been as fortunate, losing all five of their recent games. Milan will certainly look to continue their positive momentum when they face off against Lecce in their next match.
According to home statistics this season, AC Milan scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 14.89% | 12.82% |
| 16-30 | 17.02% | 23.08% |
| 31-45 | 6.38% | 10.26% |
| 46-60 | 21.28% | 17.95% |
| 61-75 | 19.15% | 15.38% |
| 76-90 | 14.89% | 12.82% |
| 91-105 | 6.38% | 7.69% |
Lecce has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 3.70% | 20.00% |
| 16-30 | 18.52% | 25.71% |
| 31-45 | 29.63% | 17.14% |
| 46-60 | 25.93% | 14.29% |
| 61-75 | 14.81% | 17.14% |
| 76-90 | 7.41% | 2.86% |
| 91-105 | 0% | 2.86% |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| AC Milan | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| AC Milan | Lecce | |
| 72.8% | Winning the game | 27.2% |
| 78% | Attack potential | 22% |
| 58% | Potential in defense | 42% |
| 85% | Strength against each other | 15% |
| 64% | Goal Potential | 36% |
Summary: the probability of Lecce winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus AC Milan, most likely, win (win or draw)
Goal Forecast:AC Milan, is likely to score 3 goals, Lecce is likely to score no more than 2.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| SBO 1.54 |
NordicBet 4.0 |
10Bet 7.5 |
Save the date
The match between the teams AC Milan and Lecce will take place on April 23 at 16:00 (UTC) at the stadium Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
